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Operario MS vs Ponta Pora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020
Operario MS Logo

Operario MS

4 - 1
FT
Ponta Pora Logo

Ponta Pora

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Operario MS in this Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Operario MS
15%
Draws
28%
Ponta Pora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario MS have won more games recently than Ponta Pora.
  • Operario MS are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 18%
Ponta Pora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Ponta Pora
Matches Played 46 9
Wins 26 1
Draws 12 1
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.63 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.98 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Ponta Pora
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 49 / 100
Ponta Pora 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Ponta Pora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 46 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Ponta Pora let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

Difficult form: Ponta Pora registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 10

Ponta Pora

(Away)
14 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
08 Mar
Ponta Pora
1 : 3
Comercial MS
04 Mar
Aquidauanense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
01 Mar
Ponta Pora
0 : 2
Chapadao
16 Feb
Ponta Pora
2 : 0
Maracaju
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
2 Aquidauanense 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
3 Chapadao 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
4 Operario MS 9 5 2 2 14:9 17
5 Comercial MS 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Costa Rica 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Corumbaense 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
8 Maracaju 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
9 Ponta Pora 9 1 1 7 6:17 4
10 Nova Andradina 9 0 2 7 5:22 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 (Play Offs)