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Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa
Operario-PR Logo

Operario-PR

1 - 2
FT
Chapecoense-SC Logo

Chapecoense-SC

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Kaue
28'
David Antunes
31' Event
Neto Paraiba
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Operario-PR
35%
Draws
20%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Operario-PR taking it.
  • Operario-PR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chapecoense-SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-SC
1:2
Oct 27, 2025 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Operario-PR
2:0
Jul 7, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-SC
1:2
Oct 4, 2024 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-SC
3:2
Jun 18, 2024 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Operario-PR
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto Paraiba
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Balieiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 95 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Chapecoense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapecoense-SC conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Operario-PR has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Operario-PR's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Chapecoense-SC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario-PR

(Home)
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
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Chapecoense-SC

(Away)
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)