Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa
Operario-PR Logo

Operario-PR

1 - 2
FT
Chapecoense-SC Logo

Chapecoense-SC

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Kaue
28'
David Antunes
31' Event
Neto Paraiba
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Operario-PR
30%
Draws
16%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Operario-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Operario-PR taking it.
  • Operario-PR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chapecoense-SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-SC
1:2
Oct 27, 2025 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Operario-PR
2:0
Jul 7, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-SC
1:2
Oct 4, 2024 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-SC
3:2
Jun 18, 2024 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Operario-PR
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto Paraiba
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Balieiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 42 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Chapecoense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapecoense-SC conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Operario-PR scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Operario-PR has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Chapecoense-SC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario-PR

(Home)
07 Aug
Operario-PR
1 : 3
Sao Bernardo
27 Jul
Atletico GO
3 : 1
Operario-PR
22 Jul
Operario-PR
3 : 2
Ponte Preta
18 Jul
Sport Recife
2 : 2
Operario-PR
12 Jul
Operario-PR
2 : 1
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6

Chapecoense-SC

(Away)
08 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
05 Aug
Cruzeiro
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
02 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 0
Cruzeiro
25 Jul
Santos
2 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4
Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)