Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario-PR vs Coritiba

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pedro Rocha
45' Event
Pedro Rocha
46'
Sub
Torres E. In: Pereira H.
Out: Torres E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Operario-PR
20%
Draws
29%
Coritiba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Operario-PR's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Operario-PR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Operario-PR, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Coritiba
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Operario-PR
2:3
Feb 14, 2026 Paranaense
Operario-PR vs Coritiba
2:2
Aug 29, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Coritiba
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Serie B
Coritiba vs Operario-PR
2:0
Feb 11, 2025 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Operario-PR
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Feliciano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Rocha
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 59 / 100
Coritiba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Coritiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OPE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario-PR found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Coritiba conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Operario-PR stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Coritiba
1.63 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario-PR

(Home)
07 Aug
Operario-PR
1 : 3
Sao Bernardo
27 Jul
Atletico GO
3 : 1
Operario-PR
22 Jul
Operario-PR
3 : 2
Ponte Preta
18 Jul
Sport Recife
2 : 2
Operario-PR
12 Jul
Operario-PR
2 : 1
Novorizontino
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Coritiba

(Away)
08 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
31 Jul
Coritiba
0 : 1
Cruzeiro
26 Jul
Bragantino
0 : 0
Coritiba
22 Jul
Coritiba
1 : 3
Palmeiras
30 May
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Coritiba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Londrina 3
Sao Joseense 2
Foz do Iguacu 1
Athletico-PR 8
Azuriz 0
Operario-PR 4
Coritiba 3
Cianorte 0
Semi-finals
Londrina 3
Athletico-PR 2
Operario-PR 5
Coritiba 4
Final
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1