Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario-PR vs Criciuma

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Neto Paraiba
24'
Bruno Alves
32'
Nicolas

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Operario-PR
20%
Draws
47%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Criciuma lately — more wins on the board than Operario-PR.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 23%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Criciuma
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 14 18
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.16 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Criciuma
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Criciuma
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Operario-PR
1:2
Aug 17, 2022 Serie B
Criciuma vs Operario-PR
2:0
May 7, 2022 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Criciuma
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Trindade
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo Hermes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 33 / 100
Criciuma 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario-PR scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Operario-PR remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Criciuma has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Criciuma
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario-PR

(Home)
07 Aug
Operario-PR
1 : 3
Sao Bernardo
27 Jul
Atletico GO
3 : 1
Operario-PR
22 Jul
Operario-PR
3 : 2
Ponte Preta
18 Jul
Sport Recife
2 : 2
Operario-PR
12 Jul
Operario-PR
2 : 1
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 7

Criciuma

(Away)
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0
Criciuma
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Criciuma
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 21 11 7 3 23:14 40
2 EC Juventude 21 11 5 5 23:12 38
3 Fortaleza 21 10 5 6 24:20 35
4 Operario-PR 21 10 5 6 29:28 35
5 Vila Nova FC 21 10 4 7 27:25 34
6 Novorizontino 21 9 6 6 32:20 33
7 CRB 21 9 5 7 32:32 32
8 Goias 21 9 5 7 22:26 32
9 Atletico GO 21 8 8 5 24:21 32
10 Sport Recife 21 7 11 3 26:19 32
11 Athletic Club 21 7 10 4 21:18 31
12 Sao Bernardo 22 8 6 8 31:25 30
13 Botafogo SP 22 8 6 8 27:22 30
14 Nautico 22 7 6 9 26:26 27
15 Cuiaba 21 5 11 5 16:16 26
16 Ceara 21 6 7 8 22:25 25
17 Londrina 21 5 5 11 27:32 20
18 Avai 21 5 5 11 21:28 20
19 America MG 21 2 5 14 15:33 11
20 Ponte Preta 22 2 4 16 16:42 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)