Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario-PR vs Sao Bernardo

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Miranda
30' Event
Pedrinho
Assist: Romisson
34'
Pereira H.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Operario-PR and Sao Bernardo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Bernardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Operario-PR
20%
Draws
29%
Sao Bernardo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Operario-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Sao Bernardo
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Sao Bernardo
1:3
Apr 2, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Operario-PR
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Serie C
Operario-PR vs Sao Bernardo
1:0
Sep 3, 2023 Serie C
Sao Bernardo vs Operario-PR
2:1
Aug 6, 2023 Serie C
Operario-PR vs Sao Bernardo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Diniz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sao Bernardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Lima
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 32 / 100
Sao Bernardo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Sao Bernardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Operario-PR found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Operario-PR went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Sao Bernardo
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario-PR

(Home)
07 Aug
Operario-PR
1 : 3
Sao Bernardo
27 Jul
Atletico GO
3 : 1
Operario-PR
22 Jul
Operario-PR
3 : 2
Ponte Preta
18 Jul
Sport Recife
2 : 2
Operario-PR
12 Jul
Operario-PR
2 : 1
Novorizontino
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Sao Bernardo

(Away)
14 Aug
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Botafogo SP
07 Aug
Operario-PR
1 : 3
Sao Bernardo
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4
Ceara
23 Jul
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
17 Jul
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Avai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 22 12 7 3 24:14 43
2 EC Juventude 22 11 6 5 23:12 39
3 Vila Nova FC 22 11 4 7 29:25 37
4 Fortaleza 22 10 6 6 24:20 36
5 Operario-PR 22 10 5 7 30:30 35
6 Sport Recife 22 8 11 3 28:20 35
7 Novorizontino 22 9 7 6 32:20 34
8 Athletic Club 22 8 10 4 24:19 34
9 CRB 22 9 6 7 32:32 33
10 Goias 22 9 5 8 22:27 32
11 Atletico GO 22 8 8 6 24:23 32
12 Sao Bernardo 22 8 6 8 31:25 30
13 Botafogo SP 22 8 6 8 27:22 30
14 Cuiaba 22 6 11 5 19:17 29
15 Nautico 22 7 6 9 26:26 27
16 Ceara 22 6 7 9 23:28 25
17 Avai 22 6 5 11 23:29 23
18 Londrina 22 5 5 12 28:34 20
19 America MG 22 2 5 15 16:36 11
20 Ponte Preta 22 2 4 16 16:42 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)