Sport Picks
Operario vs Fabril do Barreiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 
Match Events
64'
64'
Mendonca C.
AI Match Summary
Fabril do Barreiro in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fabril do Barreiro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
30%
70%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fabril do Barreiro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Fabril do Barreiro at 0.87 per game, Operario at 0.8.
- Win probability leans Fabril do Barreiro's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Fabril do Barreiro here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Operario Clean Sheet 17%
Fabril do Barreiro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Operario | Fabril do Barreiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Operario
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Operario vs Fabril do Barreiro
0:1
Sep 22, 2013 Taça de Portugal
Fabril do Barreiro vs Operario
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Operario Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Fabril do Barreiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendonca C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Operario 10 / 100
Fabril do Barreiro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Operario Fabril do Barreiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fabril do Barreiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fabril do Barreiro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Operario's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Operario VS Fabril do Barreiro
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Operario
(Home) 21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0 Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4 Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0 Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2 Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1 Operario
Page 1 of 6
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4 Sintrense
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2 Industria
09 Mar
Operario
2 : 1 Estrela Vendas Novas
23 Feb
Operario
0 : 2 FC Barreirense
16 Feb
Operario
0 : 0 Lusitano GC
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Fabril do Barreiro
(Away) 13 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
2 : 1 Louletano
06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2 Fabril do Barreiro
29 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
0 : 0 Moncarapachense
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4 Fabril do Barreiro
09 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 1 FC Barreirense
Page 1 of 6
06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2 Fabril do Barreiro
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4 Fabril do Barreiro
23 Feb
Lusitano GC
4 : 0 Fabril do Barreiro
09 Feb
Moura AC
0 : 1 Fabril do Barreiro
26 Jan
Lagoa
2 : 0 Fabril do Barreiro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitano GC | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57:14 | 58 |
| 2 | Amora | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 41:19 | 57 |
| 3 | Sintrense | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 51 |
| 5 | Louletano | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 44:20 | 50 |
| 6 | Serpa | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 42:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Estrela da Amadora B | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 35:31 | 30 |
| 8 | Lagoa | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:35 | 30 |
| 9 | Industria | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 35:42 | 29 |
| 10 | Fabril do Barreiro | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21:32 | 27 |
| 11 | Moura AC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 27:50 | 26 |
| 12 | Operario | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 22:43 | 23 |
| 13 | FC Barreirense | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 31:47 | 22 |
| 14 | Estrela Vendas Novas | 26 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12:66 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
