Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario vs Industria

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Garcia A.
79' Event
Semedo D.

AI Match Summary

Industria in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Industria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Operario
20%
Draws
80%
Industria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Industria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Industria lately — more wins on the board than Operario.
  • Operario are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Operario Clean Sheet 20%
Industria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario Industria
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.8 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Operario vs Industria
0:2
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Operario
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Industria Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Semedo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario 36 / 100
Industria 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario Industria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Industria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Industria has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Operario scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Industria
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario

(Home)
21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0
Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4
Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2
Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1
Operario
Page 1 of 6

Industria

(Away)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Industria
0 : 0
O Elvas CAD
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Industria
1 : 4
Louletano
15 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)