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Stadium Background

Operario VG vs Academia

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Kleber

AI Match Summary

Operario VG in this Matogrossense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario VG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Operario VG
15%
Draws
0%
Academia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario VG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Operario VG have won more games recently than Academia.
  • Operario VG are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Operario VG Clean Sheet 68%
Academia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario VG Academia
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 12 3
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.02 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2025 Matogrossense
Academia vs Operario VG
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Operario VG vs Academia
4:0
Feb 24, 2024 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Academia
1:0
Mar 16, 2023 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Academia
2:0
Mar 11, 2023 Matogrossense
Academia vs Operario VG
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario VG Compare

Top Goalscorer Kleber
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Academia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario VG 50 / 100
Academia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario VG Academia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario VG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academia has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Academia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Operario VG scored in 64% of their last 42 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Operario VG VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario VG

(Home)
07 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Operario VG
30 May
Operario VG
1 : 5
Capital
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Ceilandia
0 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 9

Academia

(Away)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 8 1 0 19:5 25
2 Cuiaba 9 5 4 0 20:8 19
3 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 15:9 17
4 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 10:10 14
5 Mixto 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 2 4 9:9 11
7 Primavera AC 9 1 5 3 5:8 8
8 Academia 9 2 0 7 8:14 6
9 Dom Bosco 9 1 3 5 6:18 6
10 Araguaia 9 1 2 6 4:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)