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Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Championship Championship Soccer Stadium, Irvine, CA
Orange County SC Logo

Orange County SC

2 - 0
FT
El Paso Locomotive Logo

El Paso Locomotive

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Coronado R.
26' Event
Sylla O.
Assist: Hegardt C.
46'
Sub
Ruiz R. In: Mendez A.
Out: Ruiz R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Orange County SC in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orange County SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Orange County SC
30%
Draws
51%
El Paso Locomotive
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Paso Locomotive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • El Paso Locomotive have won more games recently than Orange County SC.
  • Model gives El Paso Locomotive a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 10%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orange County SC El Paso Locomotive
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 USL Cup
Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive
0:0
Jun 15, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC
0:3
Oct 17, 2024 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orange County SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tubbs G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orange County SC 10 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orange County SC El Paso Locomotive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orange County SC's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: El Paso Locomotive conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Orange County SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orange County SC VS El Paso Locomotive
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orange County SC

(Home)
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6

El Paso Locomotive

(Away)
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1
FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1
Loudoun United
27 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 26 15 7 4 45:23 52
2 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
3 Detroit City 26 12 8 6 32:20 44
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
6 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
7 Rhode Island 25 10 5 10 36:28 35
8 Indy Eleven 26 9 6 11 32:32 33
9 Miami FC 27 8 9 10 36:44 33
10 Birmingham Legion 25 4 11 10 36:42 23
11 Loudoun United 25 4 11 10 31:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 26 4 6 16 26:52 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 26 14 5 7 45:32 47
2 New Mexico 26 12 7 7 39:31 43
3 Sacramento Republic 26 11 10 5 36:24 43
4 FC Tulsa 26 11 8 7 31:24 41
5 Lexington 26 12 4 10 46:32 40
6 Colorado Springs 26 11 6 9 40:37 39
7 Orange County SC 26 10 9 7 35:40 39
8 San Antonio FC 26 9 11 6 29:28 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 26 9 6 11 34:38 33
10 Oakland Roots 26 8 9 9 33:35 33
11 Phoenix Rising 26 8 9 9 35:38 33
12 Monterey Bay 26 4 6 16 27:46 18
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)