Sport Picks
Orange County SC vs San Antonio FC
USA
USL Championship Championship Soccer Stadium, Irvine, CA 
Match Events
11'
11'
MacKinnon L.
Assist: Palomino M.
24'
24'
Crognale A.
34'
34'
Bazini Y.
AI Match Summary
Orange County SC in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orange County SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orange County SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Antonio FC have won more games recently than Orange County SC.
- Orange County SC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 13%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orange County SC | San Antonio FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs San Antonio FC
2:0
Oct 16, 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs San Antonio FC
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Orange County SC
3:1
Jul 21, 2024 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs San Antonio FC
2:0
Apr 14, 2024 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Orange County SC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orange County SC Compare
Top Goalscorer MacKinnon L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bazini Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
San Antonio FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orange County SC 40 / 100
San Antonio FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orange County SC San Antonio FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Orange County SC scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Orange County SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
San Antonio FC let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Orange County SC VS San Antonio FC
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Orange County SC
(Home) 12 Jul
Orange County SC
0 : 3 Colorado Springs
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Orange County SC
04 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Orange County SC
24 Jun
Miami FC
2 : 4 Orange County SC
21 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 3 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Orange County SC
0 : 3 Colorado Springs
24 May
Orange County SC
3 : 2 Oakland Roots
26 Apr
Orange County SC
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
19 Apr
Orange County SC
0 : 0 Lexington
09 Apr
Orange County SC
2 : 0 San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 3
San Antonio FC
(Away) 19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
San Antonio FC
2 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
05 Jul
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Monterey Bay
25 Jun
Colorado Springs
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
13 Jun
Lexington
2 : 0 San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6
25 Jun
Colorado Springs
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
13 Jun
Lexington
2 : 0 San Antonio FC
07 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
27 May
Sporting Jax
4 : 4 San Antonio FC
16 May
One Knoxville
0 : 1 San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Charleston | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31:22 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:18 | 23 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:24 | 21 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | 13 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 18:29 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23:44 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21:19 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Paso Locomotive | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 19 |
| 10 | Lexington | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | 18 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)