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Oratorio vs Macapa

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense Estádio Augusto Antunes, Santana
Oratorio Logo

Oratorio

3 - 0
FT
Macapa Logo

Macapa

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Aldair
37' Event
Fabinho
58' Event
dos Santos L. F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oratorio in this Amapaense matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oratorio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Oratorio
15%
Draws
64%
Macapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Oratorio have won more games recently than Macapa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Oratorio Clean Sheet 20%
Macapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oratorio Macapa
Matches Played 43 32
Wins 18 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.53 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Amapaense
Oratorio vs Macapa
3:0
Feb 17, 2024 Amapaense
Macapa vs Oratorio
1:2
Jun 13, 2023 Amapaense
Oratorio vs Macapa
0:1
May 28, 2022 Amapaense
Macapa vs Oratorio
1:1
Aug 13, 2015 Amapaense
Macapa vs Oratorio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oratorio Compare

Top Goalscorer Aldair
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Macapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oratorio 32 / 100
Macapa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oratorio Macapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macapa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Oratorio scored in 79% of their last 43 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Macapa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oratorio VS Macapa
1.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oratorio

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
31 May
Oratorio
0 : 1
Imperatriz
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
17 May
Trem
4 : 2
Oratorio
10 May
Aguia De Maraba
5 : 1
Oratorio
Page 1 of 9

Macapa

(Away)
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
06 Mar
Oratorio
3 : 0
Macapa
01 Mar
Macapa
0 : 1
Ypiranga AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Jose 7 5 1 1 11:7 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 0 2 15:8 15
3 Santos AP 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
4 Independente AP 7 3 3 1 14:7 12
5 Trem 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Macapa 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
8 Cristal AP 7 0 0 7 5:18 0
Promotion - Amapaense (Play Offs)