Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orbi vs Gonio

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Grigol Jomartidze Stadium, Khashuri
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Tchamba C.
11' Event
Tchamba C.
70' Event
Kereselidze T.

AI Match Summary

Orbi in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orbi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Orbi
20%
Draws
40%
Gonio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Orbi have won more games recently than Gonio.
  • Orbi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Orbi Clean Sheet 16%
Gonio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orbi Gonio
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 3
Orbi vs Gonio
4:0
Sep 5, 2024 Liga 3
Orbi vs Gonio
2:2
Mar 14, 2024 Liga 3
Gonio vs Orbi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tchamba C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kereselidze T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gonio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orbi 75 / 100
Gonio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orbi Gonio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orbi found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Gonio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Gonio let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Orbi VS Gonio
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orbi

(Home)
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
3 : 2
Orbi
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
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Gonio

(Away)
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2 : 1
Gonio
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
28 Aug
Gonio
2 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
20 Aug
Locomotive Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gonio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)