Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orbi vs Khobi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Grigol Jomartidze Stadium, Khashuri
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Khorava L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Orbi and Khobi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orbi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Orbi
20%
Draws
40%
Khobi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Orbi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Orbi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Orbi Clean Sheet 18%
Khobi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orbi Khobi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.61 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Liga 3
Orbi vs Khobi
1:0
Apr 2, 2026 Liga 3
Khobi vs Orbi
1:0
Oct 16, 2025 Liga 3
Orbi vs Khobi
1:1
May 15, 2025 Liga 3
Khobi vs Orbi
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Khorava L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Khobi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orbi 76 / 100
Khobi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orbi Khobi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orbi scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Khobi conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Khobi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orbi VS Khobi
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orbi

(Home)
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
3 : 2
Orbi
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
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Khobi

(Away)
17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2
Betlemi Keda
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Khobi
1 : 1
Didube
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
20 Aug
Khobi
3 : 2
WIT Georgia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)