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Orca Kamogawa W vs NGU Nagoya W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

Nadeshiko League Women
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
1 - 0
03:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Koshiji M.

AI Match Summary

Orca Kamogawa W host NGU Nagoya W in the Nadeshiko League Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Orca Kamogawa W at 1.18 goals for, 1.04 against; NGU Nagoya W at 2.14 for, 0.83 against. Head-to-head, Orca Kamogawa W have won 0 to NGU Nagoya W's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.44) point toward NGU Nagoya W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Orca Kamogawa W
30%
Draws
33%
NGU Nagoya W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orca Kamogawa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Orca Kamogawa W haven't matched NGU Nagoya W's recent run of results.
  • Orca Kamogawa W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Nadeshiko League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Orca Kamogawa W Clean Sheet 68%
NGU Nagoya W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orca Kamogawa W NGU Nagoya W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.18 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Nadeshiko League Women
NGU Nagoya W vs Orca Kamogawa W
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Orca Kamogawa W vs NGU Nagoya W
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
NGU Nagoya W vs Orca Kamogawa W
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
Orca Kamogawa W vs NGU Nagoya W
1:1
May 18, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
NGU Nagoya W vs Orca Kamogawa W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orca Kamogawa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Koshiji M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

NGU Nagoya W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orca Kamogawa W 68 / 100
NGU Nagoya W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orca Kamogawa W NGU Nagoya W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orca Kamogawa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orca Kamogawa W's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Orca Kamogawa W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: NGU Nagoya W conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Orca Kamogawa W VS NGU Nagoya W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orca Kamogawa W

(Home)
04 Oct
Setagaya Sfida FC W
1 : 1
Orca Kamogawa W
20 Sept
VONDS Ichihara W
2 : 0
Orca Kamogawa W
13 Sept
Orca Kamogawa W
1 : 1
Shizuoka Bonita W
06 Sept
Okayama Yunogo W
1 : 5
Orca Kamogawa W
27 Jun
Nittaidai W
0 : 1
Orca Kamogawa W
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NGU Nagoya W

(Away)
03 Oct
NGU Nagoya W
3 : 1
Nittaidai W
19 Sept
AS Harima Albio W
1 : 2
NGU Nagoya W
12 Sept
NGU Nagoya W
0 : 2
Setagaya Sfida FC W
05 Sept
Yokohama FC Seagulls W
3 : 0
NGU Nagoya W
28 Jun
NGU Nagoya W
0 : 0
VONDS Ichihara W
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