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Orca Kamogawa W vs Shizuoka Bonita W

Japan Japan

Nadeshiko League Women
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orca Kamogawa W host Shizuoka Bonita W in the Nadeshiko League Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Shizuoka Bonita W have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Orca Kamogawa W have conceded 0.63 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Orca Kamogawa W slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.50) back Shizuoka Bonita W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Orca Kamogawa W
22%
Draws
60%
Shizuoka Bonita W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Shizuoka Bonita W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Shizuoka Bonita W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Shizuoka Bonita W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Orca Kamogawa W Clean Sheet 16%
Shizuoka Bonita W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orca Kamogawa W Shizuoka Bonita W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Orca Kamogawa W
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Orca Kamogawa W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
1:0
May 18, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Orca Kamogawa W
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
Orca Kamogawa W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Orca Kamogawa W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orca Kamogawa W 19 / 100
Shizuoka Bonita W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orca Kamogawa W Shizuoka Bonita W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orca Kamogawa W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Shizuoka Bonita W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Orca Kamogawa W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Orca Kamogawa W VS Shizuoka Bonita W
1 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orca Kamogawa W

(Home)
27 Jun
Nittaidai W
0 : 1
Orca Kamogawa W
20 Jun
Orca Kamogawa W
2 : 1
Yokohama FC Seagulls W
14 Jun
Orca Kamogawa W
2 : 1
Ehime W
07 Jun
Kunoichi W
0 : 0
Orca Kamogawa W
24 May
Orca Kamogawa W
0 : 2
Miyazaki W
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Shizuoka Bonita W

(Away)
28 Jun
AS Harima Albio W
0 : 5
Shizuoka Bonita W
21 Jun
Shizuoka Bonita W
0 : 1
Kunoichi W
13 Jun
Nittaidai W
0 : 5
Shizuoka Bonita W
07 Jun
Shizuoka Bonita W
1 : 2
Setagaya Sfida FC W
23 May
VONDS Ichihara W
1 : 5
Shizuoka Bonita W
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