Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Jorginho G.
Assist: Edmilson
28' Event
Kilama G.
41'
Glazer D.

AI Match Summary

Ordabasy in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ordabasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ordabasy
33%
Draws
40%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ordabasy lately — more wins on the board than Kairat Almaty.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 15%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 19 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
0:1
May 14, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy
4:0
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilama G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Astanov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorginho G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy 27 / 100
Kairat Almaty 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy Kairat Almaty

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordabasy's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ordabasy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kairat Almaty conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy VS Kairat Almaty
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211