Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ordabasy vs Aksu

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League 2024 Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov, Šymkent
Sat, Aug 3, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ordabasy host Aksu in the Premier League 2024. Ordabasy go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Ordabasy at 2.07 goals for, 0.67 against; Aksu at 1.5 for, 2.75 against. Past meetings favor Ordabasy slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 0.69) back Ordabasy to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ordabasy
15%
Draws
20%
Aksu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ordabasy lately — more wins on the board than Aksu.
  • Ordabasy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 20%
Aksu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy Aksu
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 24 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 2.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Aksu
0:0
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Aksu vs Ordabasy
0:0
Jul 2, 2023 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Aksu
2:0
Jun 24, 2023 Premier League
Aksu vs Ordabasy
0:1
Oct 24, 2022 Premier League
Aksu vs Ordabasy
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy 85 / 100
Aksu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy Aksu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ordabasy scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Aksu conceded in 100% of 4 recent games.

Ordabasy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aksu's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordabasy

(Home)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6

Aksu

(Away)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kairat Almaty 24 14 5 5 39:21 47
2 FC Astana 24 14 4 6 39:19 46
3 Aktobe 24 12 7 5 39:26 43
4 Ordabasy 24 12 6 6 36:24 42
5 Tobol 24 11 6 7 33:23 39
6 Yelimay Semey 24 10 7 7 35:32 37
7 Atyrau 24 9 8 7 28:20 35
8 Kaisar Kyzylorda 24 9 7 8 28:29 34
9 Kyzylzhar 24 8 5 11 29:26 29
10 Zhenis 24 6 6 12 18:32 24
11 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 24 5 8 11 17:33 23
12 Turan 24 5 5 14 16:39 20
13 Shakhter Karagandy 24 2 4 18 12:45 10
14 Aksu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)