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Ordabasy W vs Kairat W Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Serik P.
71' Event
Abdullayeva E.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Makhmutova E.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Ordabasy W and Kairat W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ordabasy W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ordabasy W
15%
Draws
51%
Kairat W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kairat W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kairat W come out ahead of Ordabasy W on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Kairat W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ordabasy W Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy W Kairat W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.93 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 League Women
Ordabasy W vs Kairat W
2:1
May 4, 2026 League Women
Kairat W vs Ordabasy W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordabasy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Serik P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makhmutova E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Kairat W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy W 10 / 100
Kairat W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy W Kairat W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ordabasy W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Ordabasy W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy W VS Kairat W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordabasy W

(Home)
07 Sept
Atyrau W
2 : 0
Ordabasy W
31 Aug
Ordabasy W
4 : 0
Kaspij Aktau W
17 Aug
Ordabasy W
2 : 1
Kairat W
10 Aug
Ordabasy W
0 : 9
BIIK Shymkent W
03 Aug
Tomiris-Turan W
4 : 0
Ordabasy W
Page 1 of 6

Kairat W

(Away)
07 Sept
Kairat W
1 : 2
Tomiris-Turan W
31 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 1
BIIK Shymkent W
24 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 0
Atyrau W
17 Aug
Ordabasy W
2 : 1
Kairat W
10 Aug
Kairat W
6 : 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)