Sport Picks

Andorra

Primera Divisió

Ordino

2 - 4

Penya

Our Tip

Match Events

Pinilla I.

20'

Sub

Mansilla D. In: Ricardo A.

Out: Mansilla D.

20'

El Kabbou I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Penya in this Primera Divisió matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Ordino

17%

Draws

13%

Penya

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ordino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Ordino at 1.13 per game, Penya at 0.38.
Model gives Ordino a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Ordino Clean Sheet 68%

Penya Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ordino	Penya
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	8	8
Draws	5	4
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	1.13	0.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Divisió

Ordino vs Penya

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Dec 7, 2025 Primera Divisió

Ordino vs Penya

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

2:4

Nov 6, 2025 Primera Divisió

Penya vs Ordino

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

3:4

May 11, 2025 Primera Divisió

Penya vs Ordino

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Jan 19, 2025 Primera Divisió

Ordino vs Penya

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordino Compare

Top Goalscorer Servat Vidal P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Morales B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Penya Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinilla I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gallego P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordino 77 / 100

Penya 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ordino Penya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ordino scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Penya let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Ordino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ordino VS Penya

1.13 Goals Scored 0.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 25%

75% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter Escaldes	24	17	3	4	47:24	54
2	UE Santa Coloma	24	14	6	4	42:16	48
3	FC Rangers	24	15	3	6	46:22	48
4	FC Santa Coloma	24	13	5	6	45:20	44
5	Atletic Escaldes	24	10	4	10	31:26	34
6	Penya	24	7	3	14	19:41	24
7	Ordino	24	6	4	14	27:42	22
8	Carroi	24	4	5	15	15:55	17
9	Esperanca	24	3	5	16	18:44	14
10	Pas de la Casa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0