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Ordino vs Penya

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Ordino Logo

Ordino

2 - 4
FT
Penya Logo

Penya

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pinilla I.
20'
Sub
Mansilla D. In: Ricardo A.
Out: Mansilla D.
20'
El Kabbou I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Penya in this Primera Divisió 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ordino
30%
Draws
12%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ordino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Penya haven't matched Ordino's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ordino a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ordino Clean Sheet 68%
Penya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordino Penya
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.22 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Penya
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Penya
2:4
Nov 6, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Ordino
3:4
May 11, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Ordino
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Penya
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordino Compare

Top Goalscorer Servat Vidal P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morales B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Penya Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinilla I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gallego P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordino 68 / 100
Penya 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordino Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Penya has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Ordino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Penya has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ordino VS Penya
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordino

(Home)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
Ordino
3 : 2
Casa de Portugal
06 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 2
Ordino
16 May
Ordino
2 : 2
Esperanca
10 May
FC Santa Coloma
0 : 1
Ordino
Page 1 of 6

Penya

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)