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Orebro vs Falkenberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Behrn Arena, Örebro
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Match Events

14' Event
Borgstrom L.
Own Goal
52'
Aguda G.
64'
Miftari A.

AI Match Summary

Orebro in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Orebro
35%
Draws
41%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Orebro haven't matched Falkenberg's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Orebro Clean Sheet 14%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Falkenberg
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2026 Superettan
Orebro vs Falkenberg
1:0
Jun 14, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Orebro
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Falkenberg
4:1
Apr 29, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Orebro
2:1
Mar 12, 2021 Club Friendly
Orebro vs Falkenberg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro 31 / 100
Falkenberg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Falkenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Falkenberg conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Orebro's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Orebro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orebro VS Falkenberg
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orebro

(Home)
26 Oct
Orebro
1 : 0
Falkenberg
20 Oct
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Orebro
11 Oct
Orebro
1 : 1
Ljungskile
03 Oct
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
19 Sept
Sandviken
4 : 2
Orebro
Page 1 of 6

Falkenberg

(Away)
26 Oct
Orebro
1 : 0
Falkenberg
17 Oct
Falkenberg
4 : 3
Landskrona
11 Oct
Varnamo
1 : 2
Falkenberg
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 28 19 5 4 58:18 62
2 Falkenberg 28 15 6 7 52:38 51
3 Ostersund 28 12 12 4 38:26 48
4 Varberg 27 13 7 7 45:34 46
5 Landskrona 27 12 7 8 45:32 43
6 Oddevold 28 11 9 8 48:37 42
7 Oster 28 13 3 12 46:45 42
8 Sandviken 28 11 8 9 46:36 41
9 Nordic United 28 10 9 9 41:47 39
10 Helsingborg 28 8 8 12 37:48 32
11 Varnamo 28 9 5 14 35:48 32
12 Ljungskile 28 7 9 12 35:40 30
13 Orebro 28 6 11 11 31:42 29
14 Norrby 28 5 12 11 31:41 27
15 Brage 28 6 8 14 45:55 26
16 Sundsvall 28 6 1 21 19:65 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)