Sport Picks

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Orebro vs Sundsvall

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Behrn Arena, Örebro
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Wikman S.
60'
Sub
Kusu M. In: Ibrahimbegovic E.
Out: Kusu M.
62'
Sub
Bjornler J. In: Finey Y.
Out: Bjornler J.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Orebro and Sundsvall finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sundsvall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Orebro
20%
Draws
51%
Sundsvall
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sundsvall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Orebro's 1.37 goals per match outpaces what Sundsvall have produced (0.9).
  • Win probability leans Orebro's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Orebro Clean Sheet 68%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Sundsvall
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 2
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.37 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Orebro
0:3
Jun 10, 2026 Superettan
Orebro vs Sundsvall
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Orebro
1:1
May 17, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Sundsvall
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Superettan
Orebro vs Sundsvall
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orebro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sundsvall Compare

Top Goalscorer Finey Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro 86 / 100
Sundsvall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Sundsvall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Orebro scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Orebro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orebro VS Sundsvall
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orebro

(Home)
19 Sept
Sandviken
4 : 2
Orebro
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
01 Sept
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Orebro
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Sundsvall

(Away)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)