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Orenburg 2 vs KDV Tomsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Frolov Y.
68' Event
Morozov I.
83' Event
Gulko I.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between Orenburg 2 and KDV Tomsk finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orenburg 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Orenburg 2
6%
Draws
90%
KDV Tomsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KDV Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Orenburg 2 haven't matched KDV Tomsk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives KDV Tomsk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Orenburg 2 Clean Sheet 15%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orenburg 2 KDV Tomsk
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 13 21
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Orenburg 2 vs KDV Tomsk
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Orenburg 2
2:1
May 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Orenburg 2 vs KDV Tomsk
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orenburg 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Frolov Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morozov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

KDV Tomsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orenburg 2 10 / 100
KDV Tomsk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orenburg 2 KDV Tomsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KDV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Orenburg 2's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

KDV Tomsk has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Orenburg 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orenburg 2 VS KDV Tomsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%