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Orenburg 2 vs Ural 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Cherkasov D.
27' Event
Satuchin P.
80' Event
Nem V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Orenburg 2
30%
Draws
27%
Ural 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orenburg 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ural 2 haven't matched Orenburg 2's recent run of results.
  • Orenburg 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Orenburg 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Ural 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orenburg 2 Ural 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs Orenburg 2
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs Orenburg 2
5:0
Apr 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Orenburg 2 vs Ural 2
2:2
Jul 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs Orenburg 2
0:5
Apr 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Orenburg 2 vs Ural 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orenburg 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherkasov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ural 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Satuchin P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nem V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orenburg 2 76 / 100
Ural 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orenburg 2 Ural 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orenburg 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Orenburg 2 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Orenburg 2's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ural 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Orenburg 2 VS Ural 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orenburg 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Orenburg 2
3 : 3
Rubin Kazan 2
13 Sept
Ural 2
1 : 1
Orenburg 2
07 Sept
Orenburg 2
3 : 0
FK Izhevsk
30 Aug
Orenburg 2
2 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
23 Aug
Orenburg 2
2 : 1
Chelyabinsk 2
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Ural 2

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Izhevsk
2 : 1
Ural 2
13 Sept
Ural 2
1 : 1
Orenburg 2
06 Sept
Nosta
0 : 1
Ural 2
30 Aug
Ural 2
2 : 3
Rubin Kazan 2
23 Aug
Rubin Kazan 2
1 : 2
Ural 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)