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Orense vs Dep. Cuenca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sub
Bermudez M. In: Chuchuca W.
Out: Bermudez M.
46'
Sub
Garcia B. In: Chacon J.
Out: Garcia B.
46'
Sub
Benalcazar C. In: Ordonez J.
Out: Benalcazar C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Orense and Dep. Cuenca finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Orense
35%
Draws
39%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Orense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Orense's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Orense Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orense Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Dep. Cuenca
0:0
Aug 16, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Dep. Cuenca
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Orense
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Orense
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Dep. Cuenca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orense Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orense 36 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orense Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orense's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dep. Cuenca conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Orense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orense VS Dep. Cuenca
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orense

(Home)
11 Oct
Orense
0 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
11 Oct
Orense
0 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)