Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orfeas Xanthi vs Apollon Paralimniou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Orfeas Xanthi
20%
Draws
80%
Apollon Paralimniou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apollon Paralimniou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Apollon Paralimniou lately — more wins on the board than Orfeas Xanthi.
  • Apollon Paralimniou are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Apollon Paralimniou here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Orfeas Xanthi Clean Sheet 20%
Apollon Paralimniou Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orfeas Xanthi Apollon Paralimniou
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Orfeas Xanthi vs Apollon Paralimniou
1:1
Jan 7, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Apollon Paralimniou vs Orfeas Xanthi
5:1
Mar 23, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Apollon Paralimniou vs Orfeas Xanthi
4:1
Dec 19, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Orfeas Xanthi vs Apollon Paralimniou
1:4
Oct 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Orfeas Xanthi vs Apollon Paralimniou
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orfeas Xanthi 10 / 100
Apollon Paralimniou 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orfeas Xanthi Apollon Paralimniou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Paralimniou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Orfeas Xanthi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Apollon Paralimniou has conceded goals in 58% of their last 38 outings.

Apollon Paralimniou's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Apollon Paralimniou
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Orfeas Xanthi

(Home)
23 Apr
Doxa Dramas
6 : 0
Orfeas Xanthi
19 Apr
Orfeas Xanthi
0 : 1
Aris Avatou
12 Apr
Kavala
3 : 1
Orfeas Xanthi
08 Apr
Orfeas Xanthi
1 : 2
Poseidonas Michanionas
02 Apr
Pandramaikos
5 : 1
Orfeas Xanthi
Page 1 of 6

Apollon Paralimniou

(Away)
27 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
1 : 0
Alexandroupoli FC
16 Apr
Krya Vrysi
1 : 1
Apollon Paralimniou
12 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
0 : 2
Panthrakikos
06 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
0 : 0
Evosmou
30 Mar
Thermaikos FC
0 : 1
Apollon Paralimniou
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kampaniakos 28 17 8 3 50:19 59
2 Kavala 28 16 7 5 55:23 55
3 Poseidonas Michanionas 28 16 5 7 40:29 53
4 Doxa Dramas 28 14 7 7 52:32 49
5 Apollon Paralimniou 28 13 8 7 49:32 47
6 Panthrakikos 28 13 8 7 44:36 47
7 Chrisoupolis 28 11 8 9 38:34 41
8 Aris Avatou 28 13 2 13 29:35 41
9 Thermaikos FC 28 10 10 8 26:26 40
10 Pandramaikos 28 11 4 13 43:35 37
11 Vyron Kavala 28 7 11 10 36:37 32
12 A. Asteras 28 7 9 12 26:41 30
13 Orfeas Xanthi 28 8 6 14 31:49 30
14 Alexandroupoli FC 28 2 7 19 17:52 13
15 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 28 0 4 24 12:68 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)