Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orfeas Xanthi vs Kavala

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Orfeas Xanthi
15%
Draws
85%
Kavala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kavala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Orfeas Xanthi haven't matched Kavala's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kavala's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Orfeas Xanthi Clean Sheet 20%
Kavala Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orfeas Xanthi Kavala
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Orfeas Xanthi
3:1
Jan 22, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Orfeas Xanthi vs Kavala
2:2
Feb 17, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Orfeas Xanthi vs Kavala
1:2
Nov 4, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Orfeas Xanthi
2:0
Mar 18, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Orfeas Xanthi
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orfeas Xanthi 10 / 100
Kavala 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orfeas Xanthi Kavala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kavala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Orfeas Xanthi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kavala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 39 matches.

Kavala lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kavala
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orfeas Xanthi

(Home)
23 Apr
Doxa Dramas
6 : 0
Orfeas Xanthi
19 Apr
Orfeas Xanthi
0 : 1
Aris Avatou
12 Apr
Kavala
3 : 1
Orfeas Xanthi
08 Apr
Orfeas Xanthi
1 : 2
Poseidonas Michanionas
02 Apr
Pandramaikos
5 : 1
Orfeas Xanthi
Page 1 of 6

Kavala

(Away)
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0
Kavala
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1
PAOK B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kampaniakos 28 17 8 3 50:19 59
2 Kavala 28 16 7 5 55:23 55
3 Poseidonas Michanionas 28 16 5 7 40:29 53
4 Doxa Dramas 28 14 7 7 52:32 49
5 Apollon Paralimniou 28 13 8 7 49:32 47
6 Panthrakikos 28 13 8 7 44:36 47
7 Chrisoupolis 28 11 8 9 38:34 41
8 Aris Avatou 28 13 2 13 29:35 41
9 Thermaikos FC 28 10 10 8 26:26 40
10 Pandramaikos 28 11 4 13 43:35 37
11 Vyron Kavala 28 7 11 10 36:37 32
12 A. Asteras 28 7 9 12 26:41 30
13 Orfeas Xanthi 28 8 6 14 31:49 30
14 Alexandroupoli FC 28 2 7 19 17:52 13
15 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 28 0 4 24 12:68 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)