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Orgryte vs Mjallby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orgryte host Mjallby in the Allsvenskan. This one's hard to separate. Orgryte have averaged 1.26 scored and 2.19 conceded recently, against Mjallby's 1.26 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Orgryte have won 2 to Mjallby's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.06) back Mjallby to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Orgryte
20%
Draws
40%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mjallby lately — more wins on the board than Orgryte.
  • Model gives Mjallby a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 20%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orgryte Mjallby
Matches Played 27 35
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.26 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Orgryte
0:2
Feb 27, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Orgryte vs Mjallby
0:3
Aug 17, 2019 Superettan
Orgryte vs Mjallby
1:1
May 4, 2019 Superettan
Mjallby vs Orgryte
2:1
Nov 11, 2017 Superettan
Orgryte vs Mjallby
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orgryte 24 / 100
Mjallby 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orgryte Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mjallby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mjallby has conceded goals in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Orgryte scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: Mjallby registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orgryte VS Mjallby
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orgryte

(Home)
18 Oct
Orgryte
4 : 2
GAIS
11 Oct
Hacken
3 : 0
Orgryte
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
Page 1 of 6

Mjallby

(Away)
18 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Mjallby
15 Oct
Mjallby
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
10 Oct
Mjallby
1 : 1
Degerfors
06 Oct
Trollhattan
1 : 0
Mjallby
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 24 17 4 3 55:30 55
2 Djurgarden 24 15 2 7 50:21 47
3 Hammarby 24 14 4 6 50:21 46
4 Hacken 24 11 9 4 43:30 42
5 Elfsborg 24 11 8 5 37:24 41
6 Vasteras SK 24 11 5 8 35:36 38
7 Malmo FF 24 11 3 10 38:34 36
8 IFK Goteborg 24 10 6 8 34:43 36
9 AIK 24 9 7 8 38:42 34
10 GAIS 24 8 6 10 30:25 30
11 Brommapojkarna 24 8 6 10 36:43 30
12 Mjallby 24 5 8 11 28:40 23
13 Kalmar 24 6 4 14 23:38 22
14 Degerfors 24 5 5 14 21:37 20
15 Orgryte 24 4 6 14 29:54 18
16 Halmstad 24 3 5 16 16:45 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)