Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orhangazispor vs Erbaaspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Gezer U.
39' Event
Unal L.
52' Event
Yuksektepe M.

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 game between Orhangazispor and Erbaaspor finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orhangazispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Orhangazispor
20%
Draws
40%
Erbaaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Orhangazispor's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Erbaaspor have produced (1.07).
  • Model gives Orhangazispor a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Orhangazispor Clean Sheet 20%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orhangazispor Erbaaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 3. Lig Group 1
Orhangazispor vs Erbaaspor
4:0
Dec 3, 2017 3. Lig Group 1
Erbaaspor vs Orhangazispor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orhangazispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuksektepe M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gezer U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Erbaaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orhangazispor 49 / 100
Erbaaspor 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orhangazispor Erbaaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orhangazispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erbaaspor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Orhangazispor's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Orhangazispor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erbaaspor
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orhangazispor

(Home)
05 May
Orhangazispor
3 : 4
Bayburt Ozel Idare
29 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
1 : 1
Orhangazispor
22 Apr
Orhangazispor
4 : 0
Erbaaspor
15 Apr
Ofspor
2 : 0
Orhangazispor
08 Apr
Orhangazispor
1 : 0
Hacettepe 1945
Page 1 of 6

Erbaaspor

(Away)
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
06 Sept
Erbaaspor
4 : 4
Musspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manisa FK 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
2 Bayburt Ozel Idare 34 17 11 6 51:33 62
3 Kemerspor 2003 34 15 12 7 62:44 57
4 Bayrampasa 34 16 9 9 43:34 57
5 Duzcespor 34 14 13 7 41:34 55
6 Ofspor 34 16 7 11 41:27 55
7 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 34 13 12 9 45:33 51
8 Erbaaspor 34 13 9 12 46:41 48
9 Batman Petrolspor 34 12 12 10 43:36 48
10 Hacettepe 1945 34 11 9 14 42:44 42
11 Catalca Spor 34 10 11 13 33:37 41
12 Kozanspor 34 11 6 17 42:52 39
13 Yomraspor 34 9 10 15 23:42 37
14 Iskenderunspor 34 10 6 18 35:53 36
15 Izmir Coruhlu 34 8 10 16 35:54 34
16 12 Bingol Spor 34 7 13 14 28:42 34
17 Orhangazispor 34 6 13 15 34:52 31
18 Dardanelspor 34 5 11 18 35:54 26
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)