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Orhangazispor vs Kemerspor 2003 Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Biyikli S.
43' Event
Biyikli S.
90' Event
Atac D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 game between Orhangazispor and Kemerspor 2003 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kemerspor 2003.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Orhangazispor
15%
Draws
39%
Kemerspor 2003
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orhangazispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kemerspor 2003 come out ahead of Orhangazispor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Orhangazispor a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kemerspor 2003 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Orhangazispor Clean Sheet 20%
Kemerspor 2003 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orhangazispor Kemerspor 2003
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2018 3. Lig Group 1
Orhangazispor vs Kemerspor 2003
0:3
Oct 15, 2017 3. Lig Group 1
Kemerspor 2003 vs Orhangazispor
3:1
Mar 19, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Orhangazispor vs Kemerspor 2003
0:2
Oct 30, 2015 3. Lig Group 2
Kemerspor 2003 vs Orhangazispor
0:3
Apr 7, 2013 3. Lig Group 1
Kemerspor 2003 vs Orhangazispor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orhangazispor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Kemerspor 2003 Compare

Top Goalscorer Biyikli S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orhangazispor 85 / 100
Kemerspor 2003 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orhangazispor Kemerspor 2003

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orhangazispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orhangazispor scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Kemerspor 2003 let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Orhangazispor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kemerspor 2003
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orhangazispor

(Home)
05 May
Orhangazispor
3 : 4
Bayburt Ozel Idare
29 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
1 : 1
Orhangazispor
22 Apr
Orhangazispor
4 : 0
Erbaaspor
15 Apr
Ofspor
2 : 0
Orhangazispor
08 Apr
Orhangazispor
1 : 0
Hacettepe 1945
Page 1 of 6

Kemerspor 2003

(Away)
01 May
Bucaspor 1928
3 : 0
Kemerspor 2003
25 Apr
Kemerspor 2003
2 : 1
Manisaspor
21 Apr
Arnavutkoy Bl.
3 : 1
Kemerspor 2003
14 Apr
Kemerspor 2003
3 : 0
Guzide Gebzespor
08 Apr
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 0
Kemerspor 2003
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manisa FK 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
2 Bayburt Ozel Idare 34 17 11 6 51:33 62
3 Kemerspor 2003 34 15 12 7 62:44 57
4 Bayrampasa 34 16 9 9 43:34 57
5 Duzcespor 34 14 13 7 41:34 55
6 Ofspor 34 16 7 11 41:27 55
7 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 34 13 12 9 45:33 51
8 Erbaaspor 34 13 9 12 46:41 48
9 Batman Petrolspor 34 12 12 10 43:36 48
10 Hacettepe 1945 34 11 9 14 42:44 42
11 Catalca Spor 34 10 11 13 33:37 41
12 Kozanspor 34 11 6 17 42:52 39
13 Yomraspor 34 9 10 15 23:42 37
14 Iskenderunspor 34 10 6 18 35:53 36
15 Izmir Coruhlu 34 8 10 16 35:54 34
16 12 Bingol Spor 34 7 13 14 28:42 34
17 Orhangazispor 34 6 13 15 34:52 31
18 Dardanelspor 34 5 11 18 35:54 26
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)