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Oriental Dragon vs Ferreiras

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 game between Oriental Dragon and Ferreiras finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferreiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Oriental Dragon
20%
Draws
0%
Ferreiras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oriental Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Oriental Dragon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Oriental Dragon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Oriental Dragon Clean Sheet 20%
Ferreiras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriental Dragon Ferreiras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.27 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Ferreiras vs Oriental Dragon
1:2
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental Dragon vs Ferreiras
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriental Dragon 85 / 100
Ferreiras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriental Dragon Ferreiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriental Dragon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferreiras let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Oriental Dragon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferreiras lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Oriental Dragon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oriental Dragon VS Ferreiras
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriental Dragon

(Home)
19 Apr
Imortal
2 : 2
Oriental Dragon
08 Apr
Oriental Dragon
2 : 1
SC Praiense
02 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 3
Oriental Dragon
19 Mar
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Oriental Dragon
12 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 0
Olhanense
Page 1 of 6

Ferreiras

(Away)
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
22 Sept
Varzim
3 : 0
Ferreiras
16 Apr
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Atletico CP
08 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 1
Ferreiras
02 Apr
Serpa
2 : 1
Ferreiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)