Sport Picks
Oriental vs Moncarapachense
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Oriental and Moncarapachense finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moncarapachense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Oriental's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Moncarapachense have produced (0.9).
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Moncarapachense taking it.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Oriental Clean Sheet 19%
Moncarapachense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oriental | Moncarapachense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs Moncarapachense
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moncarapachense vs Oriental
0:0
Jan 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moncarapachense vs Oriental
5:1
Aug 20, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs Moncarapachense
1:1
Apr 22, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Moncarapachense vs Oriental
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oriental 24 / 100
Moncarapachense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oriental Moncarapachense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moncarapachense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Oriental scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Moncarapachense let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Oriental went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oriental VS Moncarapachense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Oriental
(Home) 18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1 Serpa
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1 Oriental
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2 Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2 Alverca B
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0 Oriental
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1 Serpa
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2 Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2 Alverca B
08 Mar
Oriental
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
22 Feb
Oriental
0 : 0 Sintrense
Page 1 of 4
Moncarapachense
(Away) 18 Apr
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0 Moncarapachense
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1 Juv. Evora
04 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0 Moncarapachense
22 Mar
Moncarapachense
2 : 0 Sintrense
15 Mar
Portimonense B
0 : 3 Moncarapachense
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0 Moncarapachense
04 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0 Moncarapachense
15 Mar
Portimonense B
0 : 3 Moncarapachense
01 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 1 Moncarapachense
22 Feb
Lagoa
2 : 1 Moncarapachense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | 14 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
