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Oriental vs Monsanto

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012
Oriental Logo

Oriental

1 - 0
FT
Monsanto Logo

Monsanto

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 game between Oriental and Monsanto finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oriental.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Oriental
30%
Draws
41%
Monsanto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monsanto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Monsanto haven't matched Oriental's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Oriental taking it.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Oriental Clean Sheet 15%
Monsanto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriental Monsanto
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.09 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Oriental vs Monsanto
1:0
Oct 23, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
Monsanto vs Oriental
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriental 41 / 100
Monsanto 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriental Monsanto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriental's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Monsanto conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Oriental has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oriental VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriental

(Home)
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Oriental
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2
Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2
Alverca B
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Oriental
Page 1 of 7

Monsanto

(Away)
29 Apr
Monsanto
2 : 0
Atletico SC
22 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Monsanto
15 Apr
Monsanto
0 : 5
Fatima
07 Apr
Pinhalnovense
1 : 1
Monsanto
31 Mar
Monsanto
3 : 1
Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatima 30 18 6 6 50:30 60
2 Oriental 30 16 8 6 49:17 56
3 Torreense 30 15 11 4 47:27 56
4 Carregado 30 15 8 7 57:38 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 16 5 9 47:32 53
6 Mafra 30 10 16 4 33:22 46
7 Louletano 30 13 7 10 28:33 46
8 Sertanense 30 11 10 9 37:32 43
9 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 11 5 14 35:34 38
10 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 30:34 35
11 1º Dezembro 30 8 10 12 28:29 34
12 Juv. Evora 30 9 5 16 29:42 32
13 Monsanto 30 6 11 13 25:41 29
14 Atletico SC 30 5 11 14 31:50 26
15 Moura AC 30 6 7 17 28:57 25
16 Caldas SC 30 3 9 18 17:53 18
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)