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Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena 2025 Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Robson
35'
Sub
Rodriguez D. In: Bonilla M.
Out: Rodriguez D.
35'
Sub
Vaca P. In: Salvatierra Flores K. F.
Out: Vaca P.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Oriente Petrolero advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Oriente Petrolero
20%
Draws
29%
Jorge Wilstermann
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oriente Petrolero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jorge Wilstermann haven't matched Oriente Petrolero's recent run of results.
  • Oriente Petrolero are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Oriente Petrolero have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oriente Petrolero, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Oriente Petrolero Clean Sheet 68%
Jorge Wilstermann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriente Petrolero Jorge Wilstermann
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero
3:1
Oct 23, 2025 Copa Pacena
Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Copa Pacena
Jorge Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero
0:0
Jun 15, 2025 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann
2:0
Nov 29, 2024 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oriente Petrolero Compare

Top Goalscorer Abastoflor C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Jorge Wilstermann Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriente Petrolero 95 / 100
Jorge Wilstermann 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriente Petrolero Jorge Wilstermann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriente Petrolero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriente Petrolero scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Jorge Wilstermann has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Oriente Petrolero remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oriente Petrolero VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriente Petrolero

(Home)
08 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
2 : 0
Club Universitario de Vinto
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0
Oriente Petrolero
20 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
3 : 1
Blooming
Page 1 of 7

Jorge Wilstermann

(Away)
14 Dec
The Strongest
6 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
09 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
2 : 2
GV San Jose
07 Dec
Guabira
6 : 3
Jorge Wilstermann
04 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
3 : 1
Real Oruro
30 Nov
Aurora
1 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 14 8 2 4 34:21 26
2 Blooming 14 7 3 4 28:20 24
3 Nacional Potosi 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
4 Jorge Wilstermann 14 4 3 7 18:28 15
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oruro 14 7 7 0 22:10 28
2 Always Ready 14 8 2 4 36:19 26
3 The Strongest 14 4 4 6 27:24 16
4 Tomayapo 14 3 3 8 21:44 12
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 14 5 4 5 26:21 19
2 Aurora 14 5 3 6 24:29 18
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 14 5 2 7 23:24 17
4 Academia del Balompie 14 3 2 9 16:31 11
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guabira 14 7 4 3 25:25 25
2 Oriente Petrolero 14 6 4 4 24:24 22
3 Club Universitario de Vinto 14 5 4 5 22:20 19
4 Independiente 14 5 0 9 19:26 15
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)