Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orijent vs Croatia Zmijavci

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion Krimeja, Rijeka
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Jukic-Peladic T.
21'
Suto M.
33'
Tadejevic M.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Orijent and Croatia Zmijavci finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia Zmijavci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Orijent
39%
Draws
30%
Croatia Zmijavci
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Croatia Zmijavci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Orijent Clean Sheet 18%
Croatia Zmijavci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orijent Croatia Zmijavci
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Prva NL
Orijent vs Croatia Zmijavci
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Prva NL
Orijent vs Croatia Zmijavci
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Prva NL
Croatia Zmijavci vs Orijent
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Prva NL
Orijent vs Croatia Zmijavci
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Prva NL
Croatia Zmijavci vs Orijent
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orijent Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Croatia Zmijavci Compare

Top Goalscorer Majic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orijent 32 / 100
Croatia Zmijavci 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orijent Croatia Zmijavci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orijent scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Croatia Zmijavci has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Orijent went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orijent VS Croatia Zmijavci
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orijent

(Home)
21 Jul
Istra 1961
5 : 2
Orijent
30 May
Orijent
3 : 0
Dugopolje
23 May
Cibalia
3 : 2
Orijent
16 May
Orijent
1 : 0
Karlovac
09 May
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 0
Orijent
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Croatia Zmijavci

(Away)
18 Jul
Croatia Zmijavci
2 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
30 May
Bijelo Brdo
0 : 1
Croatia Zmijavci
24 May
Croatia Zmijavci
3 : 0
Hrvace
15 May
Opatija
3 : 1
Croatia Zmijavci
10 May
Croatia Zmijavci
1 : 2
Jarun
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rudes33198649:2965
2Cibalia33177951:3358
3Sesvete33169842:2857
4Dugopolje331661140:3854
5Dubrava Zagreb331381239:4647
6Bijelo Brdo331191330:3042
7Karlovac331331740:4542
8Opatija3310101331:3840
9Orijent339111340:4138
10Hrvace331061736:4836
11Croatia Zmijavci33981632:4635
12Jarun33891634:4233
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)