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Oriolik vs NASK Nasice

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL East game between Oriolik and NASK Nasice finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oriolik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Oriolik
15%
Draws
42%
NASK Nasice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oriolik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oriolik come out ahead of NASK Nasice on wins alone.
  • Model gives NASK Nasice a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Oriolik Clean Sheet 10%
NASK Nasice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriolik NASK Nasice
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs NASK Nasice
2:1
Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL East
NASK Nasice vs Oriolik
1:1
Jun 12, 2021 3. HNL East
NASK Nasice vs Oriolik
5:1
Mar 24, 2021 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs NASK Nasice
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriolik 10 / 100
NASK Nasice 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriolik NASK Nasice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NASK Nasice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Oriolik scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

NASK Nasice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: NASK Nasice registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oriolik VS NASK Nasice
1.63 Goals Scored 1.43
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.57
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
75% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriolik

(Home)
09 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
4 : 0
Oriolik
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0
Oriolik
01 Nov
Oriolik
0 : 8
Din. Zagreb
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1
Oriolik
Page 1 of 6

NASK Nasice

(Away)
28 May
NASK Nasice
4 : 0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba
21 May
Darda
3 : 1
NASK Nasice
14 May
NASK Nasice
0 : 3
Vukovar 1991
07 May
Oriolik
2 : 1
NASK Nasice
04 May
NASK Nasice
1 : 2
Marsonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vukovar 1991 34 25 7 2 80:20 82
2 Zrinski Osjecko 34 24 6 4 69:33 78
3 Belisce 34 23 6 5 95:28 75
4 Marsonia 34 21 7 6 61:25 70
5 Slavonija Pozega 34 18 7 9 60:38 61
6 Croatia Dakovo 34 16 11 7 60:38 59
7 Bedem Ivankovo 34 13 8 13 53:52 47
8 Slavija Pleternica 34 13 6 15 57:68 45
9 Kutjevo 34 12 7 15 59:62 43
10 Granicar Zupanja 34 11 7 16 43:52 40
11 Sloga Nova Gradiska 34 12 3 19 46:71 39
12 Oriolik 34 11 5 18 43:71 38
13 Cepin 34 8 10 16 46:64 34
14 Darda 34 9 5 20 44:71 32
15 Vuteks Sloga 34 9 4 21 52:81 31
16 NASK Nasice 34 7 9 18 38:63 30
17 Omladinac Gornja Vrba 34 8 6 20 35:63 30
18 Slavonac Bukovlje 34 7 4 23 36:77 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)