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Oriolik vs NASK Nasice

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL East game between Oriolik and NASK Nasice finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oriolik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Oriolik
6%
Draws
90%
NASK Nasice
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: NASK Nasice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oriolik come out ahead of NASK Nasice on wins alone.
  • Model gives NASK Nasice a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Oriolik Clean Sheet 10%
NASK Nasice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriolik NASK Nasice
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs NASK Nasice
2:1
Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL East
NASK Nasice vs Oriolik
1:1
Jun 12, 2021 3. HNL East
NASK Nasice vs Oriolik
5:1
Mar 24, 2021 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs NASK Nasice
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriolik 10 / 100
NASK Nasice 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriolik NASK Nasice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Oriolik scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

NASK Nasice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: NASK Nasice registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oriolik VS NASK Nasice
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriolik

(Home)
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0
Oriolik
01 Nov
Oriolik
0 : 8
Din. Zagreb
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1
Oriolik
18 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
6 : 0
Oriolik
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NASK Nasice

(Away)
28 May
NASK Nasice
4 : 0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba
21 May
Darda
3 : 1
NASK Nasice
14 May
NASK Nasice
0 : 3
Vukovar 1991
07 May
Oriolik
2 : 1
NASK Nasice
04 May
NASK Nasice
1 : 2
Marsonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vukovar 199134257280:2082
2Zrinski Osjecko34246469:3378
3Belisce34236595:2875
4Marsonia34217661:2570
5Slavonija Pozega34187960:3861
6Croatia Dakovo341611760:3859
7Bedem Ivankovo341381353:5247
8Slavija Pleternica341361557:6845
9Kutjevo341271559:6243
10Granicar Zupanja341171643:5240
11Sloga Nova Gradiska341231946:7139
12Oriolik341151843:7138
13Cepin348101646:6434
14Darda34952044:7132
15Vuteks Sloga34942152:8131
16NASK Nasice34791838:6330
17Omladinac Gornja Vrba34862035:6330
18Slavonac Bukovlje34742336:7725
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)