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Orkla vs Spjelkavik

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Viddal E.
12' Event
Landro L.
31' Event
Marthinussen M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Orkla and Spjelkavik finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spjelkavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Orkla
30%
Draws
35%
Spjelkavik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spjelkavik come out ahead of Orkla on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Orkla's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orkla Spjelkavik
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.66 2.03
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Orkla vs Spjelkavik
2:5
Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Orkla
0:2
Sep 11, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Spjelkavik
1:4
Sep 12, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Spjelkavik
0:0
Aug 15, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Spjelkavik
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Landro L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marthinussen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Viddal E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Halvorsen K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orkla 47 / 100
Spjelkavik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orkla Spjelkavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orkla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spjelkavik let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Orkla found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Orkla remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orkla VS Spjelkavik
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Orkla

(Home)
26 Sept
Byasen
3 : 0
Orkla
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
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Spjelkavik

(Away)
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
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