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Orkla vs Tronder-Lyn

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Wisloff V.
13' Event
Bergslid F.
Own Goal
20' Event
Pedersen Foll H.

AI Match Summary

Orkla in this Division 3 - Group 5 2023 matchup, with the score ending 8-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orkla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Orkla
30%
Draws
23%
Tronder-Lyn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orkla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Orkla at 1.84 per game, Tronder-Lyn at 1.68.
  • Model gives Orkla a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Orkla Clean Sheet 20%
Tronder-Lyn Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orkla Tronder-Lyn
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.84 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.97 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Tronder-Lyn
8:1
Jun 3, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Tronder-Lyn vs Orkla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Wisloff V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ysland S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tronder-Lyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Aune A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orkla 85 / 100
Tronder-Lyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orkla Tronder-Lyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orkla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Orkla's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tronder-Lyn let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Orkla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orkla VS Tronder-Lyn
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Orkla

(Home)
26 Sept
Byasen
3 : 0
Orkla
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
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Tronder-Lyn

(Away)
22 Aug
Tronder-Lyn
0 : 5
Kristiansund
29 Oct
Kristiansund 2
4 : 1
Tronder-Lyn
22 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
3 : 2
Tiller
14 Oct
Nardo
3 : 2
Tronder-Lyn
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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