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Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orlando City in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orlando City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Orlando City
39%
Draws
30%
FC Cincinnati
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Cincinnati have won more games recently than Orlando City.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 10%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando City FC Cincinnati
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.88 3.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City
6:2
Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati
3:2
Sep 28, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 MLS
Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando City 30 / 100
FC Cincinnati 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando City FC Cincinnati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orlando City scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Defensive concern: FC Cincinnati conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Orlando City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orlando City VS FC Cincinnati
2.88 Goals Scored 3.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%