Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orlando Pirates vs Magesi

South Africa South Africa

Carling Knockout Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg
Orlando Pirates Logo

Orlando Pirates

2 - 1
FT
Magesi Logo

Magesi

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Mokone J.
35'
Chipezeze E.
51' Event
Moremi T.
Assist: Ndaba N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Orlando Pirates
20%
Draws
40%
Magesi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Orlando Pirates carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Orlando Pirates are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Orlando Pirates have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Orlando Pirates, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Orlando Pirates have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet 68%
Magesi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando Pirates Magesi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 2.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.44 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Betway Premiership
Magesi vs Orlando Pirates
0:3
Jan 31, 2026 Betway Premiership
Orlando Pirates vs Magesi
2:0
Oct 28, 2025 Carling Knockout
Orlando Pirates vs Magesi
2:1
May 28, 2025 Betway Premiership
Orlando Pirates vs Magesi
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Betway Premiership
Magesi vs Orlando Pirates
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando Pirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Moremi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makgopa E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55

Magesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokone J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando Pirates 95 / 100
Magesi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando Pirates Magesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orlando Pirates Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orlando Pirates scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Orlando Pirates has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Magesi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Orlando Pirates VS Magesi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 29%
38% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Orlando Pirates

(Home)
20 Sept
Marumo Gallants
0 : 2
Orlando Pirates
17 Sept
Orlando Pirates
2 : 0
Durban City
12 Sept
Orlando Pirates
3 : 1
La Cure Waves
06 Sept
La Cure Waves
0 : 0
Orlando Pirates
01 Sept
Kruger United
0 : 4
Orlando Pirates
Page 1 of 7

Magesi

(Away)
20 Sept
Magesi
1 : 1
Hungry Lions
13 Sept
Highbury
0 : 1
Magesi
05 Sept
Leicesterford City
1 : 3
Magesi
29 Aug
Magesi
1 : 0
The Bees
22 Aug
Midlands Wanderers
0 : 1
Magesi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Golden Arrows 3
Sekhukhune 1
Orbit College 0
TS Galaxy 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Marumo Gallants 1
Stellenbosch FC 1
Kaizer Chiefs 0
Richards Bay 4
Chippa Utd. 1
Durban City 4
Polokwane City 1
Orlando Pirates 1
Siwelele 0
AmaZulu 2
Magesi 3
Quarter-finals
Golden Arrows 2
TS Galaxy 1
Marumo Gallants 4
Stellenbosch FC 0
Richards Bay 3
Durban City 1
Orlando Pirates 2
Magesi 1
Semi-finals
Golden Arrows 2
Marumo Gallants 3
Richards Bay 0
Orlando Pirates 1
Final
Marumo Gallants 0
Orlando Pirates 1