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Orlando Pirates vs St Eloi Lupopo

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League Orlando Stadium
Sat, Oct 25, 2025
3 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Nemtajela M.
68' Event
Mbuthuma Y.
90' Event
Appollis O.

AI Match Summary

Orlando Pirates host St Eloi Lupopo in the CAF Champions League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. St Eloi Lupopo have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Orlando Pirates have conceded 0 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Orlando Pirates slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.90 vs 0.80, favoring Orlando Pirates. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Orlando Pirates
22%
Draws
18%
St Eloi Lupopo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Orlando Pirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Orlando Pirates has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to St Eloi Lupopo.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Orlando Pirates.
  • Cup tournament structure in CAF Champions League increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet 68%
St Eloi Lupopo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando Pirates St Eloi Lupopo
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 20 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.17 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 CAF Champions League
Orlando Pirates vs St Eloi Lupopo
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 CAF Champions League
St Eloi Lupopo vs Orlando Pirates
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando Pirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemtajela M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbuthuma Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

St Eloi Lupopo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando Pirates 68 / 100
St Eloi Lupopo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando Pirates St Eloi Lupopo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orlando Pirates scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

St Eloi Lupopo let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Orlando Pirates went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

St Eloi Lupopo lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orlando Pirates VS St Eloi Lupopo
1.17 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
17% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Aigle Noir1
ASAS1
TBD-
Al Ahly-
Ethiopian Insurance4
Mlandege3
APR0
Pyramids5
Mogadishu City3
Police FC3
Jamus0
Al-Hilal Omdurman1
Rahimo1
Mangasport0
ASFAN1
Esperance Tunis7
Dadje0
Al Ahly Tripoli1
ASC Kara2
Berkane4
East End Lions1
Monastir7
Bibiani Gold Stars0
Kabylie7
Fundacion Bata0
Nouadhibou2
Tempete MOCAF0
Stade Malien7
Al Hilal Benghazi1
Horoya2
Real Banjul1
FAR Rabat4
Colombe1
ASC Jaraaf0
FC Fassell0
MC Alger3
Remo Stars5
US Zilimadjou0
TBD-
Mamelodi Sundowns-
Simba Bhora1
Nsingizini Hotspurs2
Gaborone Utd1
Simba2
Elgeco Plus1
Silver Strikers1
Wiliete0
Young Africans5
Cote d'Or1
Stade d'Abidjan5
Cercle De Joachim0
Petro Atletico6
Leopard0
Associacao Black Bulls1
Aigles du Congo0
Rivers United1
African Stars0
Vipers2
Power Dynamos2
ASEC Mimosas1
St Eloi Lupopo1
Al-Merreikh0
Lioli FC0
Orlando Pirates7
Final
Aigle Noir0
Al Ahly2
Ethiopian Insurance1
Pyramids3
Police FC1
Al-Hilal Omdurman4
Rahimo0
Esperance Tunis4
Al Ahly Tripoli2
Berkane3
Monastir1
Kabylie5
Nouadhibou1
Stade Malien3
Horoya1
FAR Rabat4
Colombe1
MC Alger1
Remo Stars1
Mamelodi Sundowns7
Nsingizini Hotspurs0
Simba3
Silver Strikers1
Young Africans2
Stade d'Abidjan0
Petro Atletico4
Associacao Black Bulls2
Rivers United3
Vipers2
Power Dynamos3
St Eloi Lupopo4
Orlando Pirates3