Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orlando Pride W vs North Carolina Courage W

USA USA

NWSL Women Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Yates S.
45'
Hernandez O.
45'
Lemos A.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Orlando Pride W and North Carolina Courage W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orlando Pride W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Orlando Pride W
33%
Draws
27%
North Carolina Courage W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Orlando Pride W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Carolina Courage W come out ahead of Orlando Pride W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Orlando Pride W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Orlando Pride W Clean Sheet 14%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando Pride W North Carolina Courage W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs North Carolina Courage W
0:1
May 10, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Orlando Pride W
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 NWSL x Liga MX Women Summer Cup
North Carolina Courage W vs Orlando Pride W
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Orlando Pride W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando Pride W Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

North Carolina Courage W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando Pride W 39 / 100
North Carolina Courage W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando Pride W North Carolina Courage W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orlando Pride W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

North Carolina Courage W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Orlando Pride W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orlando Pride W VS North Carolina Courage W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orlando Pride W

(Home)
19 Jul
Utah Royals W
1 : 0
Orlando Pride W
15 Jul
Orlando Pride W
0 : 1
Boston Legacy W
11 Jul
Orlando Pride W
3 : 0
Kansas City Current W
04 Jul
Angel City W
2 : 0
Orlando Pride W
29 May
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Bay FC W
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North Carolina Courage W

(Away)
18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0
North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2
Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1
Seattle Reign W
31 May
Angel City W
1 : 2
North Carolina Courage W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Washington Spirit W1593324:1230
2Gotham FC W1593319:1030
3San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Houston Dash W1544718:2416
14Boston Legacy W1644817:2316
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)