Sport Picks
Orlando Pride W vs Portland Thorns FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL 
Match Events
3'
3'
Nijstad N.
Assist: Wilson S.
25'
25'
Perry J.
28'
28'
Wilson S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Orlando Pride W and Portland Thorns FC W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Thorns FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orlando Pride W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Portland Thorns FC W come out ahead of Orlando Pride W on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Portland Thorns FC W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Orlando Pride W Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orlando Pride W | Portland Thorns FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:4
Aug 16, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Orlando Pride W
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:0
May 3, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Orlando Pride W
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Orlando Pride W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orlando Pride W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lemos A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Nijstad N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Weaver M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orlando Pride W 30 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orlando Pride W Portland Thorns FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portland Thorns FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Orlando Pride W scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Portland Thorns FC W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Orlando Pride W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Orlando Pride W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Orlando Pride W
(Home) 03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 San Diego Wave W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2 Orlando Pride W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 San Diego Wave W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Houston Dash W
29 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 Utah Royals W
07 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 3 Racing Louisville W
Page 1 of 3
Portland Thorns FC W
(Away) 04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
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19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
29 Aug
Gotham FC W
1 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
09 Aug
Boston Legacy W
3 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
02 Aug
Utah Royals W
5 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
