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Orlando Pride W vs Racing Louisville W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
McKeen A.
Assist: O'Kane K.
45'
O'Kane K.
55'
Sub
Payne N. In: Washington S.
Out: Payne N.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Orlando Pride W and Racing Louisville W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Louisville W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Orlando Pride W
20%
Draws
10%
Racing Louisville W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orlando Pride W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Racing Louisville W haven't matched Orlando Pride W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Orlando Pride W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Orlando Pride W Clean Sheet 11%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando Pride W Racing Louisville W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.29 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Racing Louisville W
1:3
Apr 24, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Orlando Pride W
3:2
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Orlando Pride W vs Racing Louisville W
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Racing Louisville W
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Orlando Pride W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando Pride W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abello K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Racing Louisville W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sears E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McKeen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando Pride W 83 / 100
Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando Pride W Racing Louisville W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orlando Pride W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Louisville W let in goals in 100% of their last 27 matches.

Orlando Pride W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Orlando Pride W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orlando Pride W VS Racing Louisville W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orlando Pride W

(Home)
03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2
San Diego Wave W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3
Orlando Pride W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4
Portland Thorns FC W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
Orlando Pride W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6

Racing Louisville W

(Away)
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1
Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
Angel City W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)