Sport Picks

France

Coupe de France Stade de la Source

Monaco

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Orleans play Monaco in the Coupe de France. It looks like a close match. Recently, Orleans averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Monaco averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Orleans won 0, Monaco won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Orleans and 1.38 for Monaco. This points to a Monaco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Orleans

25%

Draws

38%

Monaco

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Monaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Orleans picked up more points recently compared to Monaco.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Orleans Clean Sheet 17%

Monaco Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Orleans	Monaco
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	13
Draws	8	7
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.55	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.24	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Coupe de France

Orleans vs Monaco

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer El Khoumisti F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Monaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilenikhena G.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Balogun F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans 37 / 100

Monaco 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Orleans Monaco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Monaco or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Orleans attacking → ← attacking Monaco

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orleans scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Monaco let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Orleans went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Monaco lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 46

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50