Sport Picks

France

National 2025/2026 Stade de la Source

Orleans

2 - 1

Paris 13 Atletico

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Raillot L.

45'

Donat N.

Assist: Dabo M.

58'

Sub

Obiang J. In: Mouton E.

Out: Obiang J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Orleans and Paris 13 Atletico finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orleans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Orleans

40%

Draws

29%

Paris 13 Atletico

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Orleans carry the better recent record into this one.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Orleans Clean Sheet 20%

Paris 13 Atletico Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Orleans	Paris 13 Atletico
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	14	6
Draws	8	11
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1	0.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 3

Orleans vs Paris 13 Atletico

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Oct 3, 2025 Ligue 3

Paris 13 Atletico vs Orleans

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 3

Paris 13 Atletico vs Orleans

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 3

Orleans vs Paris 13 Atletico

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Apr 1, 2023 Ligue 3

Orleans vs Paris 13 Atletico

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemaitre M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Diako M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Paris 13 Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Donat N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans 32 / 100

Paris 13 Atletico 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Orleans Paris 13 Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orleans's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Paris 13 Atletico let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Orleans remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orleans VS Paris 13 Atletico

1 Goals Scored 0.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dijon	32	18	11	3	52:25	65
2	Sochaux	32	16	10	6	51:26	58
3	Rouen	32	14	13	5	43:29	55
4	Fleury-Merogis	32	15	9	8	47:30	54
5	Versailles	32	15	8	9	46:34	53
6	Orleans	32	14	9	9	42:42	51
7	Le Puy-en-Velay	32	12	11	9	45:38	47
8	Caen	32	8	16	8	39:34	40
9	Concarneau	32	8	14	10	32:37	38
10	Valenciennes	32	10	8	14	35:44	37
11	Aubagne FC	32	9	10	13	38:46	37
12	Villefranche	32	10	7	15	34:45	37
13	Quevilly	32	8	9	15	34:45	33
14	Paris 13 Atletico	32	7	11	14	26:41	32
15	Bourg Peronnas	32	8	7	17	25:44	31
16	Chateauroux	32	6	13	13	35:49	30
17	Stade Briochin	32	5	12	15	35:50	27