Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orleans vs Quevilly

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade de la Source, Orléans
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sylva K.
49'
Berthier G.
49' Event
Bouneb I.

AI Match Summary

Quevilly in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quevilly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Orleans
20%
Draws
29%
Quevilly
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orleans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Orleans have won more games recently than Quevilly.
  • Orleans are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Orleans Clean Sheet 20%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orleans Quevilly
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Quevilly
0:3
Dec 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Orleans
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Quevilly
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 3
Quevilly vs Orleans
1:1
Mar 15, 2021 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Quevilly
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Quevilly Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouneb I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diliwidi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans 40 / 100
Quevilly 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orleans Quevilly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orleans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orleans scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Quevilly let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Orleans remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orleans VS Quevilly
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orleans

(Home)
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
25 Jul
Auxerre
1 : 2
Orleans
21 Jul
Red Star
3 : 2
Orleans
18 Jul
Orleans
1 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
11 Jul
Clermont
1 : 0
Orleans
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Quevilly

(Away)
07 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Quevilly
31 Jul
Quevilly
2 : 0
CMS Oissel
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Clermont
1 : 1
Quevilly
18 Jul
Amiens SC
2 : 1
Quevilly
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)