Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Silva K.
15'
15'
Georgsson S.
19'
19'
Gylfason I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-4, with Kari advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kari come out ahead of Orninn on wins alone.
- Kari are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Kari arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kari, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Orninn Clean Sheet 12%
Kari Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orninn | Kari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 33 |
| Wins | 2 | 18 |
| Draws | 0 | 9 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 2.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 19, 2015 Icelandic Cup
Orninn vs Kari
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orninn Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gylfason I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Kari Compare
Top Goalscorer Jonsson O. D.
3 Goals Assists Leader Georgsson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orninn 10 / 100
Kari 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orninn Kari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orninn's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 5 recent games.
Kari has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Orninn remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kari
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Orninn
(Home) 10 May
Orninn
0 : 1 Grindavik
30 Apr
Ymir
0 : 4 Orninn
19 May
Orninn
2 : 4 Kari
02 May
IH Hafnarfjordur
0 : 2 Orninn
03 May
Ellidi
2 : 1 Orninn
10 May
Orninn
0 : 1 Grindavik
19 May
Orninn
2 : 4 Kari
Kari
(Away) 12 Sept
Kari
4 : 0 Haukar
05 Sept
Magni
0 : 2 Kari
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0 Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Kari
1 : 0 Fjolnir
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2 Kari
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Magni
0 : 2 Kari
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2 Kari
08 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 1 Kari
24 Jul
Hviti
1 : 3 Kari
17 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
1 : 5 Kari
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Kria 2
Vidir 1
KFS 0
Alftanes 2
KFG Gardabaer 5
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kongarnir 0
Arborg 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
Haukar -
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri 4
Einherji 2
Hrafnkell Fr. 0
Hottur 16
Vatnaliljur 4
Midas 3
Armann 2
Berserkir 4
Skinandi 6
KFR 2
TBD -
Afturelding -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Huginn 0
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Orninn 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Hamar 0
Kari 7
Selfoss -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 0
Reynir 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Grotta -
Aegir 6
Stal-Ulfur 2
SR Reykjavik 0
KV Reykjavik 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Throttur Vogar 4
Magni 4
Hamrarnir 0
Fjallabyggd 0
Volsungur 2
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Snaefell 1
KH Hlidarendi 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Augnablik 7
Hviti 2
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Njardvik 8
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur -
TBD -
Gnupverjar 1
Vaengirs 3
Skallagrimur 11
Stokkseyri 0
TBD -
Bolungarvik -
Lettir 4
Ellidi 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
KA Akureyri 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Kria 0
Alftanes 1
KFG Gardabaer 2
Arborg 1
TBD -
Breidablik -
Olafsvik 2
Haukar 1
Tindastoll 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur 1
Vatnaliljur 2
Berserkir 1
Skinandi 0
Afturelding 2
Fjardabyggd 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Orninn 2
Kari 4
Selfoss 2
Reynir 0
TBD -
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fram 2
Grotta 0
Aegir 0
KV Reykjavik 3
Grindavik 1
Throttur Vogar 0
Magni 1
Volsungur 2
Kopavogur 3
KH Hlidarendi 0
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fylkir -
TBD -
Augnablik 1
Njardvik 4
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur 3
Vaengirs 0
Skallagrimur 0
Bolungarvik 6
Lettir 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Alftanes 0
KFG Gardabaer 1
Breidablik 3
Olafsvik 3
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes 0
Fjolnir 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hottur 0
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 3
Fjardabyggd 4
Kari 0
Selfoss 0
Valur 4
KR Reykjavik 5
Keflavik 0
Fram 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 4
Volsungur 3
Kopavogur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Fylkir 3
Njardvik 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Throttur 4
Bolungarvik 1
Lettir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Breidablik 0
Olafsvik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 0
Fjardabyggd 0
Valur 4
KR Reykjavik 7
KV Reykjavik 1
Grindavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Fylkir 3
Stjarnan 0
Throttur 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Fjolnir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fylkir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Final
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 0
