Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsha vs BATE 2

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kuimov I.
37'
Bobchenok N.
46'
Sub
In: Telesh M.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Orsha and BATE 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BATE 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Orsha
15%
Draws
39%
BATE 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orsha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Orsha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • BATE 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Orsha Clean Sheet 17%
BATE 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha BATE 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs BATE 2
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BATE 2 vs Orsha
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs BATE 2
0:5
Mar 29, 2025 Pershaya Liga
BATE 2 vs Orsha
7:2
Sep 28, 2024 Pershaya Liga
BATE 2 vs Orsha
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexandrovich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

BATE 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuimov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yatskevich V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 31 / 100
BATE 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha BATE 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BATE 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Orsha scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Orsha stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS BATE 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2
BATE 2
15 Aug
Uni X Labs
0 : 0
Orsha
10 Aug
Orsha
0 : 3
Molodechno
06 Aug
Orsha
2 : 1
FC Gomel 2
31 Jul
Orsha
3 : 1
Soligorsk
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BATE 2

(Away)
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2
BATE 2
16 Aug
BATE 2
5 : 3
Volna Pinsk
10 Aug
Smorgon
2 : 0
BATE 2
06 Aug
BATE 2
1 : 2
BumProm Gomel
02 Aug
BATE 2
0 : 1
FC Minsk 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 20 13 3 4 49:23 42
2 Slutsk 21 12 5 4 39:22 41
3 SKA-1938 Minsk 21 11 5 5 41:25 38
4 FC Slonim 21 11 3 7 39:26 36
5 FK Lida 20 11 3 6 37:32 36
6 Molodechno 21 11 2 8 37:34 35
7 BumProm Gomel 21 10 4 7 40:29 34
8 Volna Pinsk 21 9 4 8 37:37 31
9 Soligorsk 21 8 5 8 41:38 29
10 FC Minsk 2 21 9 2 10 29:36 29
11 Din. Minsk 2 20 7 4 9 33:32 25
12 Ostrovets 21 5 9 7 25:31 24
13 Smorgon 21 6 5 10 24:30 23
14 Orsha 20 6 4 10 22:35 22
15 Uni X Labs 20 5 6 9 17:27 21
16 FC Gomel 2 20 5 5 10 28:33 20
17 Osipovichi 21 5 2 14 23:51 17
18 BATE 2 21 4 5 12 29:49 17
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)