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Orsha vs BATE 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kuimov I.
37'
Bobchenok N.
46'
Sub
Gagloev T. In: Telesh M.
Out: Gagloev T.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Orsha and BATE 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BATE 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Orsha
30%
Draws
47%
BATE 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BATE 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Orsha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • BATE 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Orsha Clean Sheet 11%
BATE 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha BATE 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs BATE 2
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BATE 2 vs Orsha
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs BATE 2
0:5
Mar 29, 2025 Pershaya Liga
BATE 2 vs Orsha
7:2
Sep 28, 2024 Pershaya Liga
BATE 2 vs Orsha
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexandrovich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

BATE 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuimov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yatskevich V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 35 / 100
BATE 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha BATE 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BATE 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BATE 2 let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Orsha scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

BATE 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS BATE 2
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 6

BATE 2

(Away)
02 Oct
BATE 2
1 : 1
Ostrovets
25 Sept
FC Slonim
2 : 1
BATE 2
20 Sept
BATE 2
0 : 3
Soligorsk
12 Sept
BATE 2
3 : 1
Uni X Labs
04 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 0
BATE 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 27 17 6 4 56:28 57
2 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 27 16 5 6 56:31 53
5 FC Slonim 27 14 5 8 49:32 47
6 Molodechno 26 14 3 9 45:40 45
7 BumProm Gomel 27 12 5 10 52:41 41
8 Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 52:44 40
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 27 5 6 16 36:55 21
18 Osipovichi 27 5 4 18 29:67 19
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