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Orsha vs FC Gomel 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Bordukov P.
38' Event
Pashkevich M.
Assist: Bordukov P.
42'
Bykov N.

AI Match Summary

Orsha in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orsha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Orsha
20%
Draws
0%
FC Gomel 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orsha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orsha lately — more wins on the board than FC Gomel 2.
  • Orsha are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Orsha have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Orsha Clean Sheet 14%
FC Gomel 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha FC Gomel 2
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.36 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs FC Gomel 2
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 Pershaya Liga
FC Gomel 2 vs Orsha
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs FC Gomel 2
1:3
Jun 22, 2025 Pershaya Liga
FC Gomel 2 vs Orsha
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Pashkevich M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tikhomirov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

FC Gomel 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Protasenya G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 41 / 100
FC Gomel 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha FC Gomel 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Gomel 2 conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

FC Gomel 2's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Orsha scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS FC Gomel 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
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FC Gomel 2

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
26 Sept
Slutsk
4 : 3
FC Gomel 2
18 Sept
FC Gomel 2
0 : 1
Din. Minsk 2
12 Sept
Ostrovets
3 : 1
FC Gomel 2
06 Sept
FC Gomel 2
2 : 5
FC Slonim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 27 17 6 4 56:28 57
2 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 27 16 5 6 56:31 53
5 FC Slonim 27 14 5 8 49:32 47
6 Molodechno 26 14 3 9 45:40 45
7 BumProm Gomel 27 12 5 10 52:41 41
8 Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 52:44 40
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 27 5 6 16 36:55 21
18 Osipovichi 27 5 4 18 29:67 19
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