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Orsha vs Oshmyany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Smirnov A.
66'
Sub
Grishchenko I. In: Zheleznikov G.
Out: Grishchenko I.
73'
Melnik S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pershaya Liga 2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Orsha
30%
Draws
23%
Oshmyany
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orsha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Oshmyany haven't matched Orsha's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Orsha Clean Sheet 17%
Oshmyany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha Oshmyany
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.28 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Oshmyany
0:0
May 10, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Oshmyany vs Orsha
0:0
Oct 8, 2016 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Oshmyany
7:0
Jun 18, 2016 Pershaya Liga
Oshmyany vs Orsha
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 30 / 100
Oshmyany 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha Oshmyany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orsha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oshmyany's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Orsha scored in 67% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Oshmyany registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 8

Oshmyany

(Away)
21 Nov
Krumkachy
1 : 0
Oshmyany
15 Nov
Oshmyany
2 : 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
07 Nov
Oshmyany
0 : 6
Lokomotiv Gomel
31 Oct
FC Gomel
2 : 0
Oshmyany
24 Oct
Oshmyany
0 : 0
Chimik Svetlogorsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sputnik 26 19 4 3 50:18 61
2 FC Gomel 26 18 5 3 60:20 54
3 Krumkachy 26 16 4 6 46:28 52
4 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26 13 7 6 41:28 46
5 Lokomotiv Gomel 26 13 6 7 56:38 45
6 Smorgon 26 10 6 10 29:26 36
7 FK Lida 26 9 7 10 37:42 31
8 FC Slonim 26 8 6 12 22:32 30
9 Volna Pinsk 26 7 6 13 41:52 27
10 Oshmyany 26 6 8 12 35:43 26
11 Orsha 26 7 6 13 30:42 24
12 Naftan 26 10 6 10 36:43 21
13 Mikashevichi 26 4 5 17 21:52 17
14 Chimik Svetlogorsk 26 2 4 20 12:52 1
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2021 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2020 (Relegation - Play Offs)